Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.175068 0.201276 0.231274 0.268416 0.313536 0.367043 0.436006
2025-04-13 0.132289 0.164895 0.206409 0.264229 0.344467 0.454703 0.622853
2025-04-20 0.109776 0.145161 0.193945 0.268437 0.383752 0.563786 0.885013
2025-04-27 0.095488 0.132240 0.186221 0.275145 0.426357 0.691301 1.240971
2025-05-04 0.084921 0.122098 0.179628 0.280696 0.467339 0.830901 1.704782
2025-05-11 0.077179 0.114613 0.175239 0.288065 0.512932 0.997999 2.353556
2025-05-18 0.070296 0.107255 0.169466 0.291161 0.550750 1.166197 3.160950
2025-05-25 0.064407 0.100604 0.163621 0.292506 0.585077 1.343827 4.199623
2025-06-01 0.059058 0.094116 0.156950 0.290574 0.611308 1.515313 5.457736
2025-06-08 0.054156 0.087790 0.149597 0.285582 0.628601 1.672234 6.925153
2025-06-15 0.051405 0.084987 0.148511 0.293988 0.683559 1.987207 9.928189
2025-06-22 0.047564 0.079734 0.141848 0.288254 0.697886 2.171239 12.649713
2025-06-29 0.044980 0.076649 0.139310 0.292227 0.743792 2.523894 18.165983
2025-07-06 0.041984 0.072478 0.134001 0.288411 0.765073 2.796416 24.484017
2025-07-13 0.040009 0.070111 0.132234 0.293377 0.818004 3.280710 37.518401
2025-07-20 0.038410 0.068328 0.131496 0.300974 0.884278 3.925871 62.214721
2025-07-27 0.036853 0.066471 0.130343 0.307226 0.949359 4.668474 107.323487
2025-08-03 0.035548 0.065009 0.129905 0.315508 1.027665 5.649663 207.769792
2025-08-10 0.034063 0.063024 0.127983 0.318988 1.088425 6.631476 406.684592
2025-08-17 0.032592 0.060940 0.125571 0.320500 1.142197 7.692482 857.970568
2025-08-24 0.031052 0.058577 0.122208 0.318329 1.178311 8.689535 1880.361896
2025-08-31 0.029469 0.055998 0.118032 0.312722 1.195359 9.544795 4245.874315
2025-09-07 0.028707 0.055192 0.118276 0.322167 1.298913 11.901631 32412.693417